{"id":2745,"date":"2021-11-15T13:23:28","date_gmt":"2021-11-15T12:23:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.mereau-finance.com\/letter\/n3-lettre-de-linvestisseur-dans-les-crypto-actifs\/"},"modified":"2021-11-15T13:23:28","modified_gmt":"2021-11-15T12:23:28","slug":"letter-number-3-of-the-crypto-asset-investor","status":"publish","type":"letter","link":"https:\/\/www.mereau-finance.com\/en\/letter\/n3-lettre-de-linvestisseur-dans-les-crypto-actifs\/","title":{"rendered":"No. 3 - Crypto-asset investor letter."},"content":{"rendered":"<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-327v6\">Hello everyone,<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-e3eqa\">The purpose of this letter is to inform you about the current crypto-asset market situation. This letter is not investment advice, but merely a sharing of my personal point of view.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-61phu\">At the time of writing, the price of Bitcoin is 33,000 $. We are still in a <em>range <\/em>(price range) between 30,000 $ and 37,000 $ for 4 weeks.<br><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Long-term cycle:<\/span><\/strong> The bull market is intact and user growth continues to increase parabolically. The fundamentals of the crypto-asset sector and Bitcoin are still in the green. There is a strong decorrelation between the price of Bitcoin today and these fundamentals. We have not seen such an opportunity since the fourth quarter of 2020. The next supply shock is quietly building up unnoticed.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><strong><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\">Medium-term cycle:<\/span><\/strong> Bullish, we are in a phase of coin accumulation by strong hands (professionals, companies, funds, etc.) and long-term investors who are quietly absorbing Bitcoin coins, having stopped selling for several weeks.<\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\"><li><span style=\"text-decoration: underline;\"><strong>Short-term cycle:<\/strong><\/span> Neutral, we are in a phase of price contraction, which means that the Bitcoin price is waiting to take a direction. Volumes are low. A breakdown below 30 $ would bring a short- and medium-term bearish outlook, and a breakout above 42 $ would mean a resumption of the bull market that started in late 2020.<br><br><\/li><\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-fhlim\">We are in a \u00abtense\u00bb phase where fundamentals and network growth are increasing, but the price is currently driven by speculators' fear and short-term technical analysis. However, it must be noted that fundamentals always prevail in the long term.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-45k0\">There is a market law where long periods of low volatility are followed by significant price movements.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-51q2g\">We believe the market is tight and ready to bounce back up quickly.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-903vl\">We can also note large amounts of bitcoin leaving exchanges to be stored in secure wallets (cold wallets). This metric indicates that a supply shock is approaching, similar to the one in December 2020.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-169ei\">Next, here is an overview of the amount of BTC held by private and public companies, as well as by <a href=\"https:\/\/www.blackrock.com\/fr\/intermediaries\/education\/tout-savoir-sur-les-etf\/quest-ce-quun-etf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><u>ETF<\/u><\/a> (<em>Exchange Traded Funds, <\/em>index funds<em>).<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-140ob\">Two countries currently hold Bitcoins: Bulgaria and Ukraine, respectively amounting to <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coininsider.com\/bulgarian-government-owns-3-billion-usd-bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\"><u>6.945 billion<\/u><\/a> of $ and <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nasdaq.com\/articles\/ukraines-civil-servants-report-owning-%242.6-billion-of-bitcoin-2021-04-07\" target=\"_blank\"><u>1,508 <\/u><\/a><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.coininsider.com\/bulgarian-government-owns-3-billion-usd-bitcoin\/\" target=\"_blank\"><u>Billions<\/u><\/a> of $.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.wixstatic.com\/media\/79b3b0_2eb5af6678c94ab29cce3f503e277abb~mv2.png\/v1\/fill\/w_740,h_325,al_c,lg_1,q_95\/79b3b0_2eb5af6678c94ab29cce3f503e277abb~mv2.webp\" alt=\"Table of the number of Bitcoins for each category\"\/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\">  <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.buybitcoinworldwide.com\/treasuries\/\" target=\"_blank\" class=\"ek-link\">Total Bitcoin held by each entity category<\/a>  <\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-3r7a\"><br><br>We can notice that since 2020\/2021, the number of large institutions exposing themselves to Bitcoin directly or indirectly has only grown, which once again means that the network's fundamentals are still present.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-8fnut\">The great migration of mining facilities continues, but we saw an initial rebound in the <a href=\"https:\/\/cryptonaute.fr\/quest-ce-que-le-hashrate-en-cryptomonnaie\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><u>Hash Rate<\/u><\/a> (which is the mining difficulty, mining being, simply put, a process of securing Bitcoin blockchain transactions).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-a1pkq\">Which means that mining farms being driven out by the Chinese government are moving to Kazakhstan or the United States. This is good news for the Bitcoin network because this major migration will improve its decentralization.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image aligncenter\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/static.wixstatic.com\/media\/79b3b0_59aecbc41362488a8db67186e363d806~mv2.png\/v1\/fill\/w_740,h_674,al_c,q_95\/79b3b0_59aecbc41362488a8db67186e363d806~mv2.webp\" alt=\"Hash Rate\"\/><figcaption> <a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.blockchain.com\/charts\/hash-rate\" target=\"_blank\">Total Hash Rate (TH\/s) \u2013 Computing power required for the Bitcoin mining process<\/a><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-black-color has-css-opacity has-black-background-color has-background\"\/>\n\n\n\n<h3 class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-heading\" id=\"viewer-2llm4\">News<\/h3>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-css-opacity\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\"><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-88ihr\">In case you weren't already aware, a piece of news that will make history in the world of crypto-assets is that of <strong>Bitcoin, which was recognized as legal tender in El Salvador. <\/strong>That is to say, the country's merchants will be obligated to accept this payment method exactly like the euro in France.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-6q4t3\">With more than 70 % of El Salvador's population being unbanked, this is a true revolution for the country and its people, who will no longer be under the yoke of the US dollar thanks to the Bitcoin network, which belongs to no one.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-6basv\">This news created a wave of engagement from other countries, notably <a href=\"https:\/\/journalducoin.com\/actualites\/bitcoin-monnaie-nationale-paraguay-cryptomonnaies-conquistador\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><u>Paraguay<\/u><\/a> who is looking closely into the matter, but also <a href=\"https:\/\/journalducoin.com\/actualites\/salaires-bitcoins-argentine-projet-loi\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><u>Argentina<\/u><\/a> with a senator proposing that workers can choose Bitcoin for the payment of their salary.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-1gpv\">The number of available bitcoins would never exceed 14 million, according to this <a href=\"https:\/\/static1.squarespace.com\/static\/5d580747908cdc0001e6792d\/t\/5e98dde5558a587a09fac0cc\/1587076583519\/research+note+4.17.pdf\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\"><u>search for the company Cane Island<\/u><\/a>. This surprisingly low ceiling is reportedly due to BTC losses which, following various events, have become permanently inaccessible.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-9ms9l\">The amount of investments made by institutional players and the <a href=\"https:\/\/journalducoin.com\/analyse\/chroniques-capital-risque-crypto-2-portefeuille-coinbase-ventures-levees-moment-agritech-blockchain\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noreferrer noopener\">venture capital funds<\/a> in a given sector make it possible to measure the interest of major financial players in this sector.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-4lpp\">Crypto and blockchain company funding soared in the second quarter of 2021.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-beoo5\">A total of 497 financing operations took place during the period.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-justify wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-8jb2h\">Excluding BlockOne\u2019s $9.7 billion capital injection into the crypto exchange \u201dBullish,\u201d the second quarter saw $6.2 billion in private funding directed toward the digital asset industry. This represents a 90% increase compared to the previous quarter.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-47jfa\"><em>Source : <\/em><a rel=\"noreferrer noopener\" href=\"https:\/\/www.theblockcrypto.com\/linked\/111026\/crypto-vc-funding-q2-data-research\" target=\"_blank\"><em>The Block Crypto<\/em><\/a><br><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-black-color has-css-opacity has-black-background-color has-background\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\"><em><strong>If you have any questions, comments, or would like to know more about our service, please feel free to contact us:&nbsp;<a href=\"mailto:crypto.assets.manage@gmail.com\">crypto.assets.manage@gmail.com<\/a><\/strong><\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<hr class=\"wp-block-separator has-text-color has-black-color has-css-opacity has-black-background-color has-background\"\/>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-aduqs\"><br><br><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-fgaji\"><em>\u2014 Warning \u2014<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-42cag\"><em>This is not investment advice, no one can predict the future.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-3he6u\"><em>You are solely responsible for your own investment decisions.<\/em><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"has-text-align-center wp-block-paragraph\" id=\"viewer-8kgg3\"><em>We are not responsible for any losses resulting from a decision made based on the information in this letter.<\/em><\/p>","protected":false},"template":"","categories":[1],"class_list":["post-2745","letter","type-letter","status-publish","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-lettres"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>N\u00b03 \u2013 Lettre de l\u2019investisseur dans les crypto-actifs. - M\u00e9reau Finance<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"noindex, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"N\u00b03 \u2013 Lettre de l\u2019investisseur dans les crypto-actifs. - M\u00e9reau Finance\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Bonjour \u00e0 tous, L&rsquo;objectif de cette lettre est de vous informer sur la situation actuelle du march\u00e9 des crypto-actifs. Cette lettre n&rsquo;est pas un conseil en investissement mais seulement un partage de mon point de vue personnel. Le cours du Bitcoin \u00e0 l&rsquo;heure o\u00f9 j&rsquo;\u00e9cris ces lignes est de 33 000 $. 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Cette lettre n&rsquo;est pas un conseil en investissement mais seulement un partage de mon point de vue personnel. Le cours du Bitcoin \u00e0 l&rsquo;heure o\u00f9 j&rsquo;\u00e9cris ces lignes est de 33 000 $. 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